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Shares in Asia slump and US Markets are closed for the holiday
🐮🐻 #6: USDJPY, Nikkei 225, Euro Zone Inflation, EuroStoxx 50 Futures, Oil Prices
TL;DR: US Markets are closed today for the Juneteeth holiday, Japan’s Nikkei 225 is down 1.3% and shares in Europe are expected to open lower.
📰 What’s moving markets?
Euro Zone core inflation printed at 5.3% year-on-year as expected, contributing to a 0.68% rally in the EuroStoxx 50 on Friday. However, EuroStoxx futures are down 0.70% suggesting that the gains might be reversed today.
Japan kept base rates at -0.1% on Friday, unchanged since 2016. The Yen weakened to 141.5 USDJPY as a result and the Nikkei 225 is trading 1.3% lower this morning (but is still up 28% for the year).
China GDP growth forecasts are being cut by analysts across the Street with Goldman Sachs recently reducing its forecast for China's GDP growth this year to 5.4% from 6.0% as they predict that policymakers will be limited in their ability to provide sufficient stimulus to the economy.
Oil prices are down 1% over concerns surrounding China’s economic output this year.
📊 Chart of the day
Apple earnings-per-share estimates have declined consistently since Oct 20; nevertheless, the stock has rallied 48% and added $1tn in market cap year-to-date (source: Ross Hendricks’ Twitter).
📅 Coming up this week
Monday 19th June
US NAHB Housing Market Index expected: 51, last: 50
Tuesday 20th June
Japan Industrial Production expected: -0.4%, last: 1.1%
Euro Zone Current Account expected: 30.1B, last: 31.2B
Wednesday 21st June
UK Core CPI (YoY) expected: 6.7%, last: 6.8%
UK Headline CPI (YoY) expected: 8.5%, last: 8.7%
UK Core RPI (YoY) expected: 10.1%, last: 10.4%
UK Headline RPI (YoY) expected: 10.2%, last: 11.4%
Canada Retail Sales expected: 0.2%, last: -1.4%
Brazil Interest Rate Decision expected: 13.75%, last: 13.75%
Thursday 22nd June
UK BoE Interest Rate Decision expected: 4.75%, last: 4.50%
US Continuing Jobless Claims expected: 1,766k, last: 1,775k
US Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg. expected: 242.01K, last: 246.75K
UK BoE Interest Rate Decision expected: 4.75%, last: 4.50%
Japan Core CPI (YoY) expected: 3.1%, last: 3.4%
Japan Headline CPI (YoY) expected: 4.1%, last: 3.5%
Friday 23rd June
Singapore CPI expected: 5.5%, last: 5.7%
Spain GDP (YoY) expected: 3.8%, last: 2.6%
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