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- Nvidia beats earnings expectations but US manufacturing PMI is weaker than expected
Nvidia beats earnings expectations but US manufacturing PMI is weaker than expected
🐮🐻 #54: PLUS Blackrock lowers support for ESG initiatives during shareholder meetings
TL;DR: Stocks rally on weak economic data (US Manufacturing PMI below expectations) as investors hope it may signal a pause in rate hikes. Nvidia beats earnings expectations.
📰 What’s moving Markets?
Stocks:
Shares in Asia trade higher as do US and European futures
Nvidia's shares surged by 6.6% postmarket following CEO's assurance of increased chip production to meet demand. Positive revenue forecast attributed to strong AI demand.
Wall Street rallies as lackluster economic data suggests potential Fed pause on rate hikes, boosting technology and media stocks. S&P 500 gains 1.1%, Nasdaq Composite up 1.6%.
Nvidia's blockbuster earnings contribute to the rise of AI-related stocks. Nvidia's shares are up over 200% this year, fostering the rally in AI tech stocks.
Bonds:
US 10-year Treasury yields moderate, reaching 4.20% after earlier hitting a 16-year high. Two-year US Treasury yield falls to 4.97%.
Soft economic data, including S&P Global's US Composite PMI declining to 50.4, suggesting potential central bank consideration for looser monetary policy.
Market focus on the Jackson Hole Symposium over the next couple of days for insights into the Fed's approach to future monetary tightening.
FX/Crypto:
Dollar index experiences a slight dip of 0.03% after reaching a two-month high of 103.4 against major currencies.
Yen recovers to 144.66, bouncing from a nine-month low of 145.34, amid discussions of Japan's intervention in currency markets.
The crypto market remains stable without significant movement, influenced by broader economic trends and central bank decisions.
Commodities:
Brent crude slips to $83.01 per barrel, while US crude stands at $78.65, reflecting fluctuations in oil prices due to economic factors.
Gold sees a slight increase, with spot gold trading at $1,918.89 per ounce, reflecting ongoing economic uncertainties.
🐮 ~ 🐻
📊 Chart of the Day
The chart below shows the average number of times the markets correct 3%, 5%, 10%, 15% and 20% a year. The markets normally drop 5% three times a year. We are currently experiencing the second 5% drop this year.
Average number and intensity of S&P 500 drawdowns a year
🐮 ~ 🐻
🤿 Deep Dive
Blackrock, which manages $9tn in assets, plays an important role voting in company shareholder meetings. It was recently revealed that they only supported 7% shareholder proposals on ESG issues over the last year.
If you’re pressed for time, here’s the TL;DR:
BlackRock's support for environmental and social shareholder proposals drops due to corporate progress and poorly designed measures.
The asset manager, controlling $9.4 trillion, backed just 7% of 399 such proposals, down from 22% and 47% in prior years.
BlackRock maintains an 89% director support rate, noting boards' progress in reducing directors serving multiple companies.
Rising non-binding resolutions signal growing investor interest in emissions reduction and diversity, driven by relaxed US ballot access rules.
🐮 ~ 🐻
📆 Coming up this Week
Monday 21st August
German PPI (YoY) consensus: -5.1%, last: 0.1%, actual: -6.0%
Company earnings (EPS): Zoom (beat)
Tuesday 22nd August
Australia Manufacturing PMI consensus: 49.6, last: 49.6, actual: 49.4
Japan Manufacturing PMI consensus: 49.5, last: 49.6, actual: 49.7
Company earnings (EPS): Lowe’s (beat), Baidu (beat)
Wednesday 23rd August
France Manufacturing PMI consensus: 45.2, last: 45.1, actual: 46.4
Germany Manufacturing PMI consensus: 38.6, last: 38.8, actual: 39.1
Eurozone Manufacturing PMI consensus: 42.4, last: 42.7, actual: 43.7
Canada Retail Sales (MoM) consensus: 0.0%, last: 0.2%, actual: 0.1%
United States S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI consensus: 49.4, last: 49.0, actual: 47.0
Euro Zone Consumer Confidence consensus: -14.0, last: -15.1, actual: -16.0
Company earnings (EPS): Nvidia (beat), Analog Devices (miss), Snowflake (beat)
Thursday 24th August
United Kingdom GfK Consumer Confidence consensus: -29, last: -30
Japan Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) consensus: 2.9%, last: 3.0%
Japan Tokyo CPI (YoY) consensus: 3.0%, last: 3.2%
Company earnings: Intuit
Friday 25th August
German GDP (YoY) consensus: -0.2%, last: -0.2%
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